Best Underdog NFL Plays Today (November 9, 2026)
Live odds-based picks, refreshed every few minutes
0 +EV Underdog NFL plays right now, out of 24 lines that match the sportsbooks' line. Updated 6:43 PM ET.
| Player | Pick | Win % | EV |
|---|---|---|---|
| Carson Wentz Buffalo Bills @ Minnesota Vikings · Mon 8:15 PM ET | Less 1.5 Pass TDs | 54.3% | -3.9% |
| Ray Davis Buffalo Bills @ Minnesota Vikings · Mon 8:15 PM ET | Less 5.5 Rush Yds | 53.6% | -5.1% |
| Jordan Mason Buffalo Bills @ Minnesota Vikings · Mon 8:15 PM ET | Less 47.5 Rush Yds | 52.7% | -6.7% |
| Carson Wentz Buffalo Bills @ Minnesota Vikings · Mon 8:15 PM ET | Less 20.5 Completions | 52.7% | -6.7% |
| Justin Jefferson Buffalo Bills @ Minnesota Vikings · Mon 8:15 PM ET | More 77.5 Rec Yds | 52.4% | -7.2% |
| T.J. Hockenson Buffalo Bills @ Minnesota Vikings · Mon 8:15 PM ET | More 38.5 Rec Yds | 52.3% | -7.4% |
| Carson Wentz Buffalo Bills @ Minnesota Vikings · Mon 8:15 PM ET | More 211.5 Pass Yds | 51.7% | -8.5% |
| Josh Allen Buffalo Bills @ Minnesota Vikings · Mon 8:15 PM ET | Less 0.5 Interceptions | 51.5% | -8.8% |
| Aaron Jones Buffalo Bills @ Minnesota Vikings · Mon 8:15 PM ET | More 43.5 Rush+Rec Yds | 51.4% | -9.0% |
| DJ Moore Buffalo Bills @ Minnesota Vikings · Mon 8:15 PM ET | Less 48.5 Rec Yds | 51.2% | -9.4% |
| Josh Allen Buffalo Bills @ Minnesota Vikings · Mon 8:15 PM ET | More 30.5 Rush Yds | 51.1% | -9.5% |
| James Cook Buffalo Bills @ Minnesota Vikings · Mon 8:15 PM ET | More 8.5 Rec Yds | 51.1% | -9.5% |
| Carson Wentz Buffalo Bills @ Minnesota Vikings · Mon 8:15 PM ET | More 0.5 Interceptions | 51.0% | -9.7% |
| Jordan Mason Buffalo Bills @ Minnesota Vikings · Mon 8:15 PM ET | More 11.5 Rush Attempts | 50.8% | -10.1% |
| Carson Wentz Buffalo Bills @ Minnesota Vikings · Mon 8:15 PM ET | More 7.5 Rush Yds | 50.8% | -10.1% |
How these picks are chosen
PropsMint removes the bookmaker's margin (the vig) from sharp sportsbook prices such as Pinnacle, FanDuel and DraftKings to estimate each pick's true chance of hitting. We only list picks where the app's line matches the books' line, so the edge comes from the odds rather than a stale number.
On Underdog, the best format right now is a 2-pick power entry, which needs each pick to hit about 53.5% of the time to break even. A pick is +EV when the sportsbooks' fair odds give it a better chance than that.
Probabilities are estimates, not guarantees, and any pick can lose. 21+ (18+ where permitted). Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.